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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
 Posted - 03/19/2022 : 12:57:10
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quote:
Originally posted by arescai
你覺得中國跟日本的關係好麼，但是在所有中國出版的地圖上，北方四島就是日本的。
中国和日本關係不好?遠的日本無償援助資金不說，最近無印良品可是力挺你国的新疆棉 |
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arescai
我是菜鳥
500 Posts |
Posted - 03/19/2022 : 18:57:10
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quote:
Originally posted by Henschel
quote:
Originally posted by arescai
你覺得中國跟日本的關係好麼，但是在所有中國出版的地圖上，北方四島就是日本的。
中国和日本關係不好?遠的日本無償援助資金不說，最近無印良品可是力挺你国的新疆棉
我的意思是無論中日關係如何，不會影響中國對北方四島問題的表態，因為這種立場是超越利益的原則性問題。 |
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zfss
路人甲乙丙
2266 Posts |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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gera
我是老鳥
6100 Posts |
Posted - 03/20/2022 : 21:38:35
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中國肯定是為了匯率與減少美國貨幣政策的影響,而犧牲資本自由流動,
而資本無法自由流動的情況下,它永遠不會是主要國際貨幣,
不然外國人滿手RMB是能幹什麼?
投資港股,A股? 投資中國那個有期限的房地產?
中國的確有可能以RMB塑造一個軸心經濟圈,但這是以13億韭菜的部份福祉為代價,什麼? 韭菜沒有福祉...那就沒辦法了...
以俄羅斯來說,如果普丁沒倒,那它就需要透過中國去進口商品,
在RMB經濟圈中,中俄可以用RMB做主要的貿易貨幣,
但人家歐美不認呀,
所以中國勢必花費自己的美元歐元外匯進口商品,然後轉賣給俄羅斯,取回RMB,
就某方面而言,俄羅斯變成中國的藩屬國一樣,對習大大是很有面子的事,
但經濟上的壓力,就是韭菜們扛了,
韭菜們只會得到超級嚴格的外匯管制與痛苦的通貨膨脹,
總之,先恭喜你們,
因為黨中央已經將大部份資本外逃的路徑的塞死了(當然真正的上層還是有管道的),
普通的韭菜們只能看著過往辛苦的積蓄被通膨侵蝕貶值,
你們的避險空間與管道變得很少,絕大部份情況只會在股市與房市中被宰殺,
這就是習大大的"共同富裕",韭菜們將共享痛苦,不分收入高低,並且是過得越不錯的中產就會越痛苦.
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semmyenator
我是菜鳥
Japan
585 Posts |
Posted - 03/20/2022 : 22:22:35
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quote:
Originally posted by gera
中國肯定是為了匯率與減少美國貨幣政策的影響,而犧牲資本自由流動,
而資本無法自由流動的情況下,它永遠不會是主要國際貨幣,
不然外國人滿手RMB是能幹什麼?
投資港股,A股? 投資中國那個有期限的房地產?
中國的確有可能以RMB塑造一個軸心經濟圈,但這是以13億韭菜的部份福祉為代價,什麼? 韭菜沒有福祉...那就沒辦法了...
以俄羅斯來說,如果普丁沒倒,那它就需要透過中國去進口商品,
在RMB經濟圈中,中俄可以用RMB做主要的貿易貨幣,
但人家歐美不認呀,
所以中國勢必花費自己的美元歐元外匯進口商品,然後轉賣給俄羅斯,取回RMB,
就某方面而言,俄羅斯變成中國的藩屬國一樣,對習大大是很有面子的事,
但經濟上的壓力,就是韭菜們扛了,
韭菜們只會得到超級嚴格的外匯管制與痛苦的通貨膨脹,
總之,先恭喜你們,
因為黨中央已經將大部份資本外逃的路徑的塞死了(當然真正的上層還是有管道的),
普通的韭菜們只能看著過往辛苦的積蓄被通膨侵蝕貶值,
你們的避險空間與管道變得很少,絕大部份情況只會在股市與房市中被宰殺,
這就是習大大的"共同富裕",韭菜們將共享痛苦,不分收入高低,並且是過得越不錯的中產就會越痛苦.
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=saudi+arabia+RMB+oil&
都啥時代了,還在外國人滿手RMB是能幹什麼??
寶祚延庥萬國歡 景星拱極五雲端
海波澄碧春輝麗 旌節花間集鳳鸞
晚傾波濤離海岸 天風浩蕩白鷗閒
舟人哪知傷心處 遙指前程是馬關
明知此是傷心地 亦到維舟首重回
十七年中多少事 春帆樓下晚濤哀
--詩述甲午黃海 雪野,李鴻章,梁啟超 |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 00:26:23
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quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=saudi+arabia+RMB+oil&
都啥時代了,還在外國人滿手RMB是能幹什麼??
就只一個沙烏地而已.
而且沙烏地也不敢不收美金只收RMB,只是說"也收"RMB而已.
主要還不是因為沙烏地在外國亂殺人,被西方制裁,感覺不爽.
這種一時的耍脾氣,有啥好講的?! 
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
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semmyenator
我是菜鳥
Japan
585 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 09:52:50
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quote:
Originally posted by cwchang2100
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=saudi+arabia+RMB+oil&
都啥時代了,還在外國人滿手RMB是能幹什麼??
就只一個沙烏地而已.
而且沙烏地也不敢不收美金只收RMB,只是說"也收"RMB而已.
主要還不是因為沙烏地在外國亂殺人,被西方制裁,感覺不爽.
這種一時的耍脾氣,有啥好講的?!
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節
The development of shale oil in the United States ,
Has transformed from an importer to an exporter,
How to make your shale oil sell better than Middle East oil,
Of course, it is operated from the oil price and the dollar,
Relatively speaking, how can the Middle East ensure that it is still making money in oil,
Find a third-party currency that is not interfered by Europe and the United States,
as the capital to hedge against the United States,
is one of the possible ways,
Saudi Arabia does not dare not to accept US dollars but only RMB,
Just saying "also charge" RMB, that's not bad,
This is indeed asking to promote the internationalization of RMB, which is not bad.
It's up to the Biden administration, how will it be dismantled?
Anyway, keeping the oil price moving is an opportunity,
This is not bad for international retail investors.
寶祚延庥萬國歡 景星拱極五雲端
海波澄碧春輝麗 旌節花間集鳳鸞
晚傾波濤離海岸 天風浩蕩白鷗閒
舟人哪知傷心處 遙指前程是馬關
明知此是傷心地 亦到維舟首重回
十七年中多少事 春帆樓下晚濤哀
--詩述甲午黃海 雪野,李鴻章,梁啟超 |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 11:13:56
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quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
The development of shale oil in the United States ,
Has transformed from an importer to an exporter,
How to make your shale oil sell better than Middle East oil,
Of course, it is operated from the oil price and the dollar,
Relatively speaking, how can the Middle East ensure that it is still making money in oil,
Find a third-party currency that is not interfered by Europe and the United States,
as the capital to hedge against the United States,
is one of the possible ways,
Saudi Arabia does not dare not to accept US dollars but only RMB,
Just saying "also charge" RMB, that's not bad,
This is indeed asking to promote the internationalization of RMB, which is not bad.
It's up to the Biden administration, how will it be dismantled?
Anyway, keeping the oil price moving is an opportunity,
This is not bad for international retail investors.
It is too naive.
Not all third-party currency is the same.
RMB is tightly controlled by RPC.
RPC limits the amount of RMB you can exchange
for other currencies.
In another word, RMB is not a free currency.
It is very unwise to keep your assets in RMB
just for revenging European or American.
"not bad" is not a good excuse.
The reality of this decision is actually terrible.
The reason why Saudi Arabia does not care is because
they have enough money to loss.
They just do not care about the cost, but not us.
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
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semmyenator
我是菜鳥
Japan
585 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 12:25:31
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quote:
Originally posted by cwchang2100
It is too naive.
Not all third-party currency is the same.
RMB is tightly controlled by RPC.
RPC limits the amount of RMB you can exchange
for other currencies.
In another word, RMB is not a free currency.
It is very unwise to keep your assets in RMB
just for revenging European or American.
"not bad" is not a good excuse.
The reality of this decision is actually terrible.
The reason why Saudi Arabia does not care is because
they have enough money to loss.
They just do not care about the cost, but not us.
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節
As far as the current currency market is concerned
A currency that is more qualified to achieve decentralization
There has always been only the euro
RMB will be controlled by the CCP
The Middle East clearly knows the problem
So what they came up with was petrodollars
Rather than a single introduce RMB settlement
Saudi Arabia asks China to settle oil with RMB
Europe and Russia cut off natural gas
Russia blocks airspace and transport routes in the North Belt
It's all good news for the bid-ask spread
The same is true for oil prices or currency
There is always risk and opportunity
There's nothing wrong with that
寶祚延庥萬國歡 景星拱極五雲端
海波澄碧春輝麗 旌節花間集鳳鸞
晚傾波濤離海岸 天風浩蕩白鷗閒
舟人哪知傷心處 遙指前程是馬關
明知此是傷心地 亦到維舟首重回
十七年中多少事 春帆樓下晚濤哀
--詩述甲午黃海 雪野,李鴻章,梁啟超 |
Edited by - semmyenator on 03/21/2022 12:26:45 |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 18:11:37
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quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
As far as the current currency market is concerned
A currency that is more qualified to achieve decentralization
There has always been only the euro
RMB will be controlled by the CCP
The Middle East clearly knows the problem
So what they came up with was petrodollars
Rather than a single introduce RMB settlement
I do not see the need to decentralize my assets,
but it is extremely important for me to be able to
liquidize my assets.
However, RMB is a bad choice to do so.
Just as I said Saudi Arabia has enough money,
so that they can endure some of their assets
frozen in RMB and they also can force RPC to
exchange their RMB for other currencies in case necessary.
I am not rich enough to do so.
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
Saudi Arabia asks China to settle oil with RMB
Europe and Russia cut off natural gas
Russia blocks airspace and transport routes in the North Belt
It's all good news for the bid-ask spread
The same is true for oil prices or currency
There is always risk and opportunity
There's nothing wrong with that
I think most of your so called "good news"
may be disasters for some other people on earth.
But I can understand your bullshits. 
Even if Singapore is hurt, we can also benefit from it.
There is also nothing wrong with your damage as well. 
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
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semmyenator
我是菜鳥
Japan
585 Posts |
Posted - 03/21/2022 : 18:46:46
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quote:
Originally posted by cwchang2100
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
As far as the current currency market is concerned
A currency that is more qualified to achieve decentralization
There has always been only the euro
RMB will be controlled by the CCP
The Middle East clearly knows the problem
So what they came up with was petrodollars
Rather than a single introduce RMB settlement
I do not see the need to decentralize my assets,
but it is extremely important for me to be able to
liquidize my assets.
However, RMB is a bad choice to do so.
Just as I said Saudi Arabia has enough money,
so that they can endure some of their assets
frozen in RMB and they also can force RPC to
exchange their RMB for other currencies in case necessary.
I am not rich enough to do so.
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
Saudi Arabia asks China to settle oil with RMB
Europe and Russia cut off natural gas
Russia blocks airspace and transport routes in the North Belt
It's all good news for the bid-ask spread
The same is true for oil prices or currency
There is always risk and opportunity
There's nothing wrong with that
I think most of your so called "good news"
may be disasters for some other people on earth.
But I can understand your bullshits.
Even if Singapore is hurt, we can also benefit from it.
There is also nothing wrong with your damage as well.
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節
long gone
Thanks for caring
Otherwise, it's just the nonsense here
Don't know how many years of prison food
BTW
under the benefit
who cares about democracy
This place can definitely be said that it is not as beautiful as imagined.
If it weren't for the poor countries in Southeast Asia
The quality of life is not necessarily worse than here
Although most of the folks are anti-Chinese
Disaster or not, the difference is only in the ability to run away and go there, right?
寶祚延庥萬國歡 景星拱極五雲端
海波澄碧春輝麗 旌節花間集鳳鸞
晚傾波濤離海岸 天風浩蕩白鷗閒
舟人哪知傷心處 遙指前程是馬關
明知此是傷心地 亦到維舟首重回
十七年中多少事 春帆樓下晚濤哀
--詩述甲午黃海 雪野,李鴻章,梁啟超 |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 03/23/2022 : 14:57:33
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quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
long gone
Thanks for caring
Otherwise, it's just the nonsense here
Don't know how many years of prison food
Sure. But, do not take it too personally.
Everything is just business.
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
BTW
under the benefit
who cares about democracy
Well, I do. Democracy and Science make me feel comfortable.
quote:
Originally posted by semmyenator
This place can definitely be said that it is not as beautiful as imagined.
If it weren't for the poor countries in Southeast Asia
The quality of life is not necessarily worse than here
Although most of the folks are anti-Chinese
Disaster or not, the difference is only in the ability to run away and go there, right?
We do not have to be too cynical.
Most people are just struggling to make life easier.
In general, Singapore people live much better than most Chinese people.
In order to enjoy this life style, Singapore people need to
defense their country value, in stead of running away.
And, I believe the core value of Singapore is much closer
to the Western world than the CCP world. Therefore, the decision
is not so difficult to make.
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
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kumasukiyaki
路人甲乙丙
1616 Posts |
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白河子
路人甲乙丙
Taiwan
4531 Posts |
Posted - 03/24/2022 : 18:50:10
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這樣就豁免老共關稅，完全應證某些主張美國霸權殞落的人的說法：美國(拜登)很虛
老共完全可以大方的對俄軍援，因為老美已無力對老共實施像樣的經濟制裁... |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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曹公孟德
路人甲乙丙
3521 Posts |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 03/25/2022 : 01:42:55
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quote:
Originally posted by kumasukiyaki
看來美國頂不住通脹壓力了。雖然中國沒有完成中美貿易協定第一階段的購買指標，但是也只能移除關稅了
https://www.dw.com/zh/%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B%E9%87%8D%E6%96%B0%E8%B1%81%E5%85%8D352%E9%A0%85%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B%E9%80%B2%E5%8F%A3%E5%95%86%E5%93%81%E9%97%9C%E7%A8%85/a-61241325?zhongwen=trad&maca=chi-gk-volltext-newsstand-politik-cn_long-23641-xml-googlenews
美國重新豁免352項中國進口商品關稅
https://www.asiafinancial.com/us-excludes-352-product-categories-from-tariffs-on-chinese-goods
US Exempts Fewer Chinese Goods From Trump Tariffs Than Expected
https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/notices/FRN%20for%20Notice%20of%20Reinstatement.pdf
Notice of Reinstatement of Certain Exclusions: China’s Acts, Policies, and Practices
352項豁免項目清單
其實DW的說法已經很清楚,川普原本的徵稅項目中,
2018-2019年,有2200項豁免的免稅項目到期,
2020年剩下549項延長一年可豁免關稅,
現在各方本來以為這549項的豁免可以繼續延長,
沒想到這次只剩352項可被豁免關稅.
2200->549->352,其實是越來越慘,一年不如一年.
剩下的項目,只剩下幫浦,電動馬達,汽車小零件,化學品,
背包,低價自行車,吸塵器等等消費商品.
如果仔細看,可以發現很多產品都有價格上限,也就是只有廉價品才得以豁免.
高價品還是要課關稅.
裏面還有一項很有趣,就是一堆冷凍蟹肉,可以免稅.
特別是有一個冷凍帝王蟹,1kg到1.2kg的範圍才能免稅.
這玩意我就有點不懂,西台灣盛產帝王蟹嗎??? 為什麼這玩意會是免稅???
難道美帝居心險惡,硬要吃光西台灣的帝王蟹,讓黨中央無蟹可吃???
這實在是太邪惡了,必須予以譴責才行! 
quote:
Originally posted by 曹公孟德
白等就是舔共。
宰豬還能宰到一半停下來的嗎?
應該是吃帝王蟹,不能吃到一半就停下來,要繼續吃!
--------------------------------
這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
Edited by - cwchang2100 on 03/25/2022 01:45:26 |
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Henschel
路人甲乙丙
3315 Posts |
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gera
我是老鳥
6100 Posts |
Posted - 04/13/2022 : 03:49:54
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https://rfi.my/8Kaa
日本据报已受邀参加澳英美“奥库斯”协议
《产经新闻》4月12日引述多名日本官员的话报导称，美国、英国和澳大利亚已经就日本加入“奥库斯”协议（AUKUS）这一印太地区的安全框架与日方进行了接触。
日本首相岸田文雄3月27日在防卫大学毕业仪式上发表讲话时曾提及：“在今天的国际社会，任何一个国家单独保护自己的和平与安全是不现实的。
换句话说，我们处在一个甚至作为现实主义的一部分也需要国际合作的时代，而我所提倡的‘新时代现实主义外交’正是建立在这样的情况下。
特别是在像目前这样的危机中，加强与共享自由、民主、人权和法治等普世价值的伙伴的具体合作是极其重要的。”
日本与美国、英国和澳大利亚三国都已有双边合作框架。但有些领域日本不能参与，比如核动力潜艇技术，有些人认为即使日本要与“奥库斯”协议合作，也应该暂时限于个别领域的合作。
(個人認為,日本加入AUKUS,本來就是時間表的問題,
雖然美國口中說並不想在東亞太平洋複製一個北約,但實際上AUKUS是比北約更緊密,
之後大概只會讓日本與加拿大加入,紐西蘭倒是有資格,但紐應該不肯.
AUKUS最終一定會走向核保護傘,
一來北朝鮮問題,二來俄羅斯做了很壞的示範,三來中國,
最終,美國的核保護傘在AUKUS會變成與北約核共享一樣,這種核嚇阻是有現實必要的.
當然,日本要走到這步還很遠,日本必須先徹底核電再開,然後是擁有SSN,之後才輪到核共有.
北約的缺點就是人多口雜,美國會讓AUKUS成為很緊密的小圈,在價值觀上必須高度一致,國力,技術,都有高度水準,
像南韓,新加坡,印度,其實都想成為三角型大師,所以美國是不會邀請的.
AUKUS的連鎖觸發,
日本澳洲都不是北約成員國,但已經開始使用北約的標準與後勤料號系統,
當有外力攻擊此二國時,會觸發英美參戰,
而當外力攻擊英美時,又會觸發北約介入.
(對此感到不滿的就是法德等西歐國)
(雙洋同盟)這會形成強大的嚇阻力,進而維持世界的基本穩定,
當然,缺點是逼中國俄羅斯等國抱團取暖,組成中央軸心,
而烏克蘭戰爭將會決定第二次冷戰前期的模樣...)
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BlueWhaleMoon
我是老鳥
13032 Posts |
Posted - 04/13/2022 : 09:55:30
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JAUKUS(五億人口)+北約的雙洋同盟，的確是會促成中俄陸盟。
畢竟兩國都有重建勢力圈的企圖。
但是這是2/24之前要擔心的反效果。
2/24之後窘狀頻出的俄羅斯，在與烏克蘭停戰後，普丁退位後(以年紀來說遲早的事)
後普丁時代演變，會大幅影響後續的發展。
俄羅斯此役之後將喪失世界強權的地位，降等為中等核子強權
(我把這一場看成是與英法的運河危機相比)
以中等核子強權的角色，徹底放棄重建帝俄的想法之後，
是否願意徹底認清事實，在中俄陸盟中擔任小弟(像運河危機後的英國)，
還是特意突出扮演左右逢源的角色(像運河危機後的法國)
甚至徹底躺平，放棄干預世界各地，專心賣能源+維持核武庫
還不好說。
甚至對中國來說，如果俄羅斯徹底躺平，那麼德法也會跟著繼續貫徹躺平政策，保持軍費的低檔。
這麼一來，也代表歐洲北約對JAUKUS的援助力量會很弱，算盤仔細算起來，得失還不好說。
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唯一支持蔡總統國防預算占GDP3%政策 |
Edited by - BlueWhaleMoon on 04/13/2022 10:06:14 |
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cwchang2100
我是老鳥
Cayman Islands
17243 Posts |
Posted - 04/13/2022 : 19:44:57
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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/13/china/china-ukraine-great-translation-movement-intl-hnk-mic/index.html
Twitter users are exposing pro-Russian sentiment in China, and Beijing is not happy
左膠媒體CNN也在報導"大翻譯運動",讓西方民眾知道西台灣瀰漫著親俄的氣氛!
在黨中央強力維持的牆內其實是非常地反西方和傾向俄羅斯觀點.具有強烈的民族主義傾向.
這其實是好事,雖然看來黨中央並不樂見.
黨中央希望以一貫和善的假面具來欺騙西方的笨蛋們,讓西方認為共匪不是威脅,不是敵人.
其實這種謊言是大錯特錯,黨中央從上到下都強烈洗腦西台灣人民.
導致西台灣人民普遍對西方具有敵意,天生就是一股邪惡的力量,希望征服世界.
西方應當早日看穿此種假面具,發現共匪真正的邪惡野心,早日打擊共匪的邪惡勢力.
世界才有機會重新邁向自由繁榮的道路.
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這些秘密話語來自活著的耶穌，由迪迪摩斯•猶大•多馬記錄。
他說：「任何人發現了這些話的意義，將不會嚐到死亡的滋味。」
多馬福音第1節 |
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標題 |
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美共大戰
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